PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4d1e7f7ab98bee32b09b1cdf5c5159e73922e714

Realised P&L
$-14.98
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$69.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 10:10Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?SELL0.36$3.85
08-02 18:27Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?BUY0.2429998948$1.64
08-02 07:21Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.8099999399$7.14
08-02 06:28Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?BUY0.9399999835$9.13
08-01 13:43Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.958$8.38
07-31 07:03Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.9549999572$8.36
07-29 22:44US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.7$7.15
07-27 18:13Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?BUY0.3899999682$4.17
07-27 14:23Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.579999903$5.14
07-27 09:27Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?SELL0.36$2.76
07-25 16:59Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4499999369$2.14
07-24 20:10Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?SELL0.959$8.54
07-23 14:08Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?BUY0.5$3.84
07-23 11:23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.7$6.73
07-22 13:33Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?BUY0.8$1.98