0x4ca02e1f291f5f3df3fa09884d8073461cde153e
- Realised P&L
- $-34.90
- Volume
- $722.45
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $43.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.367 | 0.213 | $21.52 | −$15.48 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.802 | 0.790 | $9.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.141 | 0.133 | $8.46 | −$0.54 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.040 | 0.024 | $3.52 | −$2.48 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$6.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.13at 0.400Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.06at 0.586Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-10.00at 0.412Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-13.00at 0.130Exact Score: Any Other Score?
- +$-15.00at 0.500Will France win on 2026-07-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0469792352 | $7.00 |
| 08-04 14:09 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 08-04 13:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $6.00 |
| 07-20 14:26 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3669999962 | $37.00 |
| 07-19 14:46 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.91 | $34.13 |
| 07-17 11:16 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 07-17 11:16 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.8019999963 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 11:15 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1409999871 | $9.00 |
| 07-17 11:14 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4 | $15.00 |
| 07-17 11:10 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.411999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 11:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.58599999 | $10.00 |