Tossiboll
0x4c76cbce1532d5ef1f1e65419834aa3654c6cf47
- Realised P&L
- $13.85
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $60.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.95at 0.417Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
- +$26.02at 0.447Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$24.12at 0.170Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
- +$16.86at 0.759Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
- +$16.53at 0.638Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 19:02 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8599999672 | $22.00 |
| 07-22 19:00 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.8009999688 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 18:48 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8599999576 | $15.00 |
| 07-20 18:45 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0169999831 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 18:44 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7319999707 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 18:43 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 18:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 18:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.9599998618 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 21:54 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9269999975 | $16.00 |
| 07-19 20:58 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6289999538 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 19:54 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6159999285 | $2.00 |
| 07-10 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 17:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 17:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 17:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |