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Traders

Tossiboll

0x4c76cbce1532d5ef1f1e65419834aa3654c6cf47

Realised P&L
$13.85
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$60.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No0.9100.977$16.10+$1.10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8600.875$15.26+$0.26
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.7100.920$6.48+$1.48
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.6900.845$6.12+$1.12
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.7000.825$5.89+$0.89
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.9100.986$5.42+$0.42
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8010.785$4.90$0.10
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0170.004$0.26$0.74
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.7400.165$0.22$0.78
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$5.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$5.00
Knicks vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers0.5600.000$0.00$14.00
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET · Down0.4990.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 19:02Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.8599999672$22.00
07-22 19:00Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.8009999688$5.00
07-20 18:48Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.8599999576$15.00
07-20 18:45Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0169999831$1.00
07-20 18:44Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.7319999707$5.00
07-20 18:43Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.6899999869$10.00
07-20 18:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.9699999981$5.00
07-20 18:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.9599998618$5.00
07-19 21:54Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9269999975$16.00
07-19 20:58Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6289999538$5.00
07-19 19:54Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6159999285$2.00
07-10 17:20Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETBUY0.3899998479$1.00
07-10 17:19Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.96$5.00
07-10 17:17Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.4599997608$1.00
07-10 17:13Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.8799999859$5.00