PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4bf8F9E4A7CF5450e8A41a2b4c7B765c3c0F7651-1767732603233

0x4bf8f9e4a7cf5450e8a41a2b4c7b765c3c0f7651

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$374.1k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$604.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1080.065$573.09$376.87
Trump out as President by August 31? · Yes0.0080.009$19.98+$3.28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0710.055$10.22$3.08
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3240.192$0.42$0.29
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1190.085$0.35$0.14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1650.118$0.34$0.14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.1560.019$0.10$0.68
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0170.007$0.08$0.10
Trump out as President by July 31? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$164.80
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$17.11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$45.25
Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$82.62
Will Trump visit China by June 30? · No0.0400.000$0.00$540.70
Trump out as President by April 30? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$250.50
Will Trump visit China by May 31? · No0.0450.000$0.00$354.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 18:40Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.08$176.00
07-15 12:30Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.005$26.79
07-15 12:29Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.07$3.50
07-15 12:29Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.07$24.50
07-03 11:01Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.07$12.87
07-03 08:22Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.044$1.67
07-03 07:19Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.01$12.20
07-03 07:18Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.01$40.00
07-03 07:15Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.0095985042$10.00
06-28 16:16Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.28$39.20
06-28 16:13Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.09$45.00
06-28 07:57Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.09$45.00
06-14 15:40Trump out as President by June 30?BUY0.007$4.19
06-14 15:39Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?SELL0.009$3.94
06-11 20:59Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1$209.00