GR81UK
0x4880b34940e62e715d93f142bb05f680bc33584f
- Realised P&L
- $-124.23
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $81.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITF Eupen: Noah Schlagenhauf vs Abel Forger · Abel Forger | 0.760 | 0.745 | $29.41 | −$0.59 |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieri · Andrea Guerrieri | 0.716 | 0.975 | $27.20 | +$7.20 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.865 | $24.97 | +$7.07 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.00 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31? · Yes | 0.498 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$373.03 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina Alexandrova · Talia Gibson | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$216.65at 0.563Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?
- +$147.61at 0.589Will Lando Norris win the Qatar Grand Prix?
- +$82.33at 0.708Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?
- +$38.00at 0.810Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?
- +$36.55at 0.578Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 11:37 | ITF Eupen: Noah Schlagenhauf vs Abel Forger | BUY | 0.759999998 | $30.00 |
| 08-07 10:13 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieri | BUY | 0.7164179072 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 09:29 | ITF Bielsko Biala: Vladyslav Orlov vs Wojciech Marek | BUY | 0.8399999989 | $30.00 |
| 08-07 07:35 | ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas vs Charlotte Van Zonneveld | BUY | 0.9299999817 | $30.00 |
| 08-07 07:33 | ITF Astana: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Ivan Gretskiy | BUY | 0.8199999934 | $20.00 |
| 08-06 20:46 | National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet | BUY | 0.77 | $13.09 |
| 08-06 20:28 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $17.90 |
| 08-06 20:11 | Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Michael Mmoh | BUY | 0.9759999988 | $13.00 |
| 08-06 18:11 | National Bank Open: Mariano Navone vs Arthur Fils | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 18:10 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 16:08 | National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina Alexandrova | BUY | 0.6799999955 | $12.00 |
| 08-06 16:04 | Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.64 | $25.00 |
| 08-06 14:29 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.4599999922 | $29.37 |
| 08-06 14:22 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Aziz Dougaz | BUY | 0.5285306823 | $20.00 |
| 07-03 09:32 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.8699999993 | $73.00 |