0x47fc1c8c2a2bb9c8e5a08b5f605af8e6cd193806
- Realised P&L
- $-5.92
- Volume
- $97.87
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $19.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.806 | 0.835 | $7.33 | +$0.25 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7? · Up | 0.520 | 0.665 | $6.50 | +$1.42 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during Friday roundtable? · No | 0.720 | 0.755 | $5.33 | +$0.25 |
| Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.483 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$7.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.02at 0.658US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
- +$-0.08at 0.630US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$-0.52at 0.390Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 3 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 01:16 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.5199999918 | $5.08 |
| 08-06 17:04 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during Friday roundtable? | BUY | 0.7199999773 | $5.08 |
| 08-06 11:55 | Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 11:55 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 11:30 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $4.56 |
| 08-06 08:52 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999539 | $5.08 |
| 08-06 03:45 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 03:44 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.656 | $5.06 |
| 08-06 00:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6579998894 | $5.08 |
| 08-05 16:23 | Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4699999787 | $5.08 |
| 08-05 08:22 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.7899999938 | $5.08 |
| 08-05 00:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999591 | $5.08 |