Digging.lil
0x46b75404d254203df62669a7b625ed59a19969e6
- Realised P&L
- $-19.94
- Volume
- $360.93
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $27.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.440 | 0.455 | $10.34 | +$0.34 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.936 | 0.961 | $10.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.052 | $7.28 | −$2.72 |
| Valorant: Misa Esports vs Çilekler (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup D · Misa Esports | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.74at 0.620Valorant: Mandatory vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group A
- +$5.15at 0.660Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs
- +$3.70at 0.730Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs
- +$2.80at 0.740Valorant: X-CAST vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season
- +$1.11at 0.900Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 16:10 | Valorant: Misa Esports vs Çilekler (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup D | BUY | 0.8 | $7.50 |
| 07-06 16:08 | Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? | BUY | 0.0714564624 | $10.00 |
| 06-27 13:28 | Valorant: Mandatory vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group A | BUY | 0.6199999955 | $11.00 |
| 06-21 13:14 | Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 13:14 | Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs | BUY | 0.64 | $15.00 |
| 06-18 11:34 | Valorant: X-CAST vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season | SELL | 0.999 | $10.80 |
| 06-18 09:34 | Valorant: X-CAST vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season | BUY | 0.7399999833 | $8.00 |
| 06-18 09:31 | Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 09:30 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.1040000002 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 12:00 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.9799999615 | $8.66 |
| 06-13 11:57 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 11:56 | Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 11:31 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.936 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 11:26 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |