flyip
0x469c7f793fa34a154f2d378b2397daa9eb65309b
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $19.12M
- Markets traded
- 234
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded234
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.036Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
- +$1.0kat 0.472MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$761.11at 0.197US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$567.73at 0.063Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$356.35at 0.892MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:29 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.248 | $4.22 |
| 08-02 21:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.247 | $1.25 |
| 08-02 21:24 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.246 | $4.18 |
| 08-02 09:07 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.03 |
| 08-02 02:51 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0270255339 | $6.28 |
| 08-01 15:47 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.248 | $4.22 |
| 08-01 14:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.249 | $4.23 |
| 08-01 14:10 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.249 | $4.23 |
| 08-01 13:07 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.128 | $2.94 |
| 08-01 04:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.255 | $2.55 |
| 08-01 03:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.254 | $4.32 |
| 08-01 03:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.253 | $4.30 |
| 07-31 22:10 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.245 | $4.17 |
| 07-31 19:31 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.244 | $4.15 |
| 07-31 19:29 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.40 |