PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

flyip

0x469c7f793fa34a154f2d378b2397daa9eb65309b

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$19.12M
Markets traded
234
Open portfolio
$6.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded234
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1260.118$1.1k$72.25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2000.192$588.00$25.86
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9120.945$569.07+$19.81
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0300.029$346.43$20.94
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8810.895$316.97+$4.95
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.1300.095$311.61$113.30
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0830.065$306.71$83.54
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2470.248$241.82+$1.29
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.4540.254$236.63$186.96
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.2190.175$219.71$54.92
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0200.101$186.46+$150.05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0390.041$171.40+$6.06
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0290.026$162.35$15.21
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1410.055$162.12$252.46
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.0810.055$156.09$75.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:29Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.248$4.22
08-02 21:26Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.247$1.25
08-02 21:24Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.246$4.18
08-02 09:07Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.006$0.03
08-02 02:51Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0270255339$6.28
08-01 15:47Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.248$4.22
08-01 14:13Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.249$4.23
08-01 14:10Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.249$4.23
08-01 13:07Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.128$2.94
08-01 04:46Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.255$2.55
08-01 03:33Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.254$4.32
08-01 03:33Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.253$4.30
07-31 22:10Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.245$4.17
07-31 19:31Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.244$4.15
07-31 19:29Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.004$0.40