poorersob
0x45bc74efa620b45c02308acaecdff1f7c06f978b
- Realised P&L
- $360.3k
- Volume
- $55.97M
- Markets traded
- 8,360
- Open portfolio
- $86.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,360
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.0kat 0.003Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
- +$10.1kat 0.223Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
- +$8.1kat 0.151Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
- +$7.5kat 0.515Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
- +$7.2kat 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1540446667 | $23.11 |
| 08-02 21:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 08-02 15:53 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.987 | $1.5k |
| 08-02 07:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.72 | $71.28 |
| 08-02 07:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.20 |
| 08-02 07:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7668878788 | $75.92 |
| 08-02 05:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $64.35 |
| 08-02 05:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $51.80 |
| 08-02 05:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.6803171717 | $67.35 |
| 08-02 04:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $1.28 |
| 08-02 04:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.73 | $72.27 |
| 08-01 19:03 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.0k |
| 08-01 19:02 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.6k |
| 08-01 18:23 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-01 18:14 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $221.78 |