PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x44c1bdef9315d9b5514042b0bce4bf0b93a32de4

Realised P&L
$-9.30
Volume
$86.74
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$19.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration56.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June? · No0.7230.876$4.07+$0.71
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5100.595$3.92+$0.56
Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.5200.595$3.42+$0.43
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? · No0.7500.749$2.99$0.00
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.2200.165$2.24$0.75
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? · No0.6800.560$1.70$0.37
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.3400.495$1.48+$0.46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No0.2400.005$0.02$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · Yes0.3000.003$0.01$1.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 11:46Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?BUY0.75$2.99
08-03 03:46Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.2199999441$2.99
08-02 19:36Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.52$2.99
08-02 11:26Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.34$1.02
08-02 02:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5099999484$3.36
08-01 18:43Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?BUY0.7229999619$3.36
08-01 10:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.24$1.02
08-01 08:40Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?BUY0.6799999343$2.07
08-01 00:16Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.7199999829$3.36
07-31 16:16Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.3$1.41
07-31 07:30Will Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.4899999118$1.50
07-30 07:49Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.43$1.29
07-29 04:51New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999886$4.03
07-28 16:22Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.5499999298$1.96
07-28 12:14Will Trump say "Putin" during Fox & Friends appearance?BUY0.7199998106$3.65