PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

-Yang-

0x43a6d60de9824e8ed8b0a2d851f49fcaf1e38b32

Realised P&L
$26.8k
Volume
$755.6k
Markets traded
360
Open portfolio
$14.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded360
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.0600.139$4.3k+$2.5k
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · Yes0.1250.220$2.1k+$890.73
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7010.875$1.2k+$235.96
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · No0.8150.952$761.60+$109.60
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5870.882$705.60+$235.80
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6340.935$665.76+$214.50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · No0.9431.000$599.70+$33.90
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4640.335$574.82$222.06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.5900.770$462.00+$108.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7500.890$445.00+$70.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9130.981$392.19+$27.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? · No0.6380.745$372.50+$53.50
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? · No0.3700.335$335.00$35.00
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.5260.605$303.27+$39.38
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6130.736$294.20+$49.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 15:08Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?BUY0.37$102.38
08-02 11:48Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.64$84.94
08-02 11:48Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?BUY0.8$22.00
07-30 16:21Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 July 27-August 2?BUY0.88$880.00
07-30 16:18Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 July 27-August 2?BUY0.88$880.00
07-30 16:17Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.92$450.80
07-25 14:02Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?BUY0.5229326588$142.65
07-23 15:33Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26?BUY0.84$42.00
07-22 15:14Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?BUY0.88$25.14
07-22 15:07Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?BUY0.984$65.93
07-22 15:04Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?BUY0.88$459.56
07-22 15:01Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?BUY0.76$82.92
07-22 14:56Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.75$14.93
07-10 05:54Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?SELL0.13$13.42
07-09 11:06Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?SELL0.27$8.10