ewiuhjdsj
0x439b0efccf1f09afe82b290b8154c1462f308cd7
- Realised P&L
- $202.52
- Volume
- $170.9k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $7.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.930 | 0.935 | $2.0k | +$10.75 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No | 0.955 | 0.977 | $1.0k | +$22.51 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? · No | 0.973 | 0.987 | $1.0k | +$13.86 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? · No | 0.968 | 0.974 | $1.0k | +$5.68 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? · No | 0.971 | 0.979 | $592.95 | +$4.54 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? · No | 0.959 | 0.955 | $497.29 | −$2.34 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.735 | $448.35 | −$51.85 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August? · No | 0.967 | 0.849 | $438.93 | −$61.01 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$497.00 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$750.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.23at 0.978Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
- +$93.78at 0.983Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?
- +$86.51at 0.823Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?
- +$64.00at 0.958Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
- +$60.00at 0.960Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 02:31 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $20.00 |
| 06-03 02:26 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $100.00 |
| 06-02 09:43 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $198.00 |
| 06-02 09:37 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $48.00 |
| 06-02 09:27 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $99.00 |
| 06-02 09:26 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $198.00 |
| 06-02 09:23 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $48.00 |
| 04-08 02:47 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $118.11 |
| 04-08 02:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $998.86 |
| 04-06 14:50 | Will the price of Solana be above $50 on April 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $76.03 |
| 04-06 14:50 | Will the price of Solana be above $60 on April 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $597.82 |
| 04-06 14:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 7? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.66 |