wataxut
0x437b8df29d183fe384601c61a42202fef7a10f0b
- Realised P&L
- $-273.13
- Volume
- $88.8k
- Markets traded
- 502
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded502
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.69at 0.727US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
- +$41.82at 0.784Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
- +$25.73at 0.628Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
- +$24.64at 0.630Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$22.95at 0.890US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 21:30 | Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? | BUY | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 08-03 20:30 | Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? | BUY | 0.76 | $74.98 |
| 08-02 19:30 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 08-01 06:31 | Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? | BUY | 0.76 | $75.23 |
| 08-01 04:30 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $124.66 |
| 07-30 18:30 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.8906559528 | $81.47 |
| 07-27 09:30 | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 07-27 09:30 | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 07-27 09:30 | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 07-24 16:30 | Israel military action against Yemen by July 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 07-22 06:30 | Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in July 2026? | SELL | 0.957 | $39.34 |
| 07-21 16:30 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 07-20 07:30 | Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026? | BUY | 0.859 | $36.45 |
| 07-19 20:30 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $41.74 |
| 07-14 20:30 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? | SELL | 0.712 | $30.99 |