PolyBot

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Traders

predictooooooooor

0x41b684f33bd7d277ee1af437fa3bb4153e4c8f2b

Realised P&L
$321.84
Volume
$152.9k
Markets traded
235
Open portfolio
$936.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded235
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027? · No0.7890.880$360.03+$37.05
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.4710.790$195.78+$79.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8300.835$167.00+$1.00
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.5320.775$139.49+$43.78
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.6320.780$31.79+$6.02
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7960.788$23.66$0.23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1400.175$7.12+$1.42
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$4.40
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$2.23
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026? · No0.8860.000$0.00$1.1k
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 15? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$14.73
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$0.94
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more? · Yes0.2990.000$0.00$6.89
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026? · Yes0.7610.000$0.00$578.27
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$14.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 19:36Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.96$48.00
07-03 23:04Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.889$88.90
07-03 22:59Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?BUY0.58$4.06
06-28 14:37Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?BUY0.79$67.00
06-28 14:34Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?BUY0.77$132.22
06-28 12:51Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?BUY0.988$49.40
06-28 12:47Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.012$1.20
06-28 11:27Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?BUY0.81$126.97
06-28 11:24Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?BUY0.8$4.80
06-24 20:57Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?SELL0.3$55.69
06-23 16:09Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?BUY0.83$166.00
06-22 18:58US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.06$12.00
06-21 17:24Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?BUY0.87$21.75
06-21 17:22Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.14$5.70
06-21 17:19Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?BUY0.05$5.00