0xdasha
0x417b120c8de784b2f77b64b76c9648bccff182f5
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $87.6k
- Markets traded
- 239
- Open portfolio
- $542.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded239
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.965 | 0.961 | $288.15 | −$1.35 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.985 | 0.987 | $227.01 | +$0.46 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? · No | 0.640 | 0.770 | $23.10 | +$3.90 |
| Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.120 | $2.40 | −$5.60 |
| Will Rafael Leao join Manchester United? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.057 | $1.53 | −$10.58 |
| Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.80 |
| Will the announcers say "Enthusiasm" during Brazil vs Japan? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$190.00at 0.620LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- +$120.00at 0.600Heat vs. Magic
- +$32.00at 0.920LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B
- +$13.87at 0.060S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 22?
- +$7.10at 0.861Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 04:41 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $226.55 |
| 07-06 04:41 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $289.50 |
| 07-06 04:39 | Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.22 |
| 07-06 04:39 | Will Ally Kennedy win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 07-06 04:39 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be at least $486,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 07-06 04:39 | Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 04:38 | Will Beth Jones win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 04:38 | Will 6–7 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries? | SELL | 0.05961 | $1.19 |
| 07-06 04:38 | Will another player win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 07-06 04:38 | Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026? | SELL | 0.395936 | $19.80 |
| 07-06 04:38 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by July 31? | SELL | 0.235 | $11.75 |
| 07-06 04:38 | Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3 | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 07-06 04:38 | Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 07-06 04:38 | Will Troy Reh record the fastest shot at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 07-06 04:37 | Will Nito Abreu win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |