0x3eD5B5E5B6Ac146c70b35034C53FAf6890822497-1785455646602
0x3ed5b5e5b6ac146c70b35034c53faf6890822497
- Realised P&L
- $-20.28
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $4.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.70at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6?
- +$7.30at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4?
- +$6.60at 0.340Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$5.50at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
- +$5.20at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 01:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 08-02 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 08-02 20:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $0.40 |
| 08-02 20:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | SELL | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 08-02 18:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 08-02 18:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | SELL | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 17:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 08-02 01:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 08-01 23:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 22:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | SELL | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 08-01 22:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |