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Traders

erxiao

0x3ece17e3a99d4aedbc3f361a2e430aa744a6af79

Realised P&L
$-151.48
Volume
$483.1k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$55.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President by August 31? · No0.9940.994$11.99$0.01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No0.9400.969$10.31+$0.31
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.955$9.95$0.05
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.925$7.96$0.04
Will Benfica qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League? · Yes0.9780.913$7.94$0.56
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.965$6.92+$0.32
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4070.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 01:43Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.9939999998$12.00
08-06 01:37Will Benfica qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?BUY0.9779999979$8.50
08-06 01:32Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9599999616$10.00
07-20 07:39French election called by July 31, 2026?BUY0.998$12.00
07-20 07:39China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.929999993$8.00
07-14 07:42Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.299999982$10.00
07-14 07:42Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4074999808$10.00
06-11 06:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.9299998508$4.80
06-11 06:12Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?BUY0.9329999953$5.70
06-11 06:03Sam Altman in jail by June 30?SELL0.99$10.31
05-27 08:27Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999944$6.60
05-22 11:24Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?BUY0.9399999774$10.00
05-16 06:06Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?BUY0.984$6.00
05-16 06:05French election called by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9839999992$10.00
04-07 00:53Will President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in March?BUY0.998$14.62