0x3c68f7e64874ef4b752c384fdbf0c85c05aa574f
- Realised P&L
- $0.91
- Volume
- $44.43
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $20.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 1.000 | $3.65 | +$1.46 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? · Up | 0.640 | 1.000 | $3.42 | +$1.23 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.325 | $2.97 | +$0.78 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.999 | $2.92 | +$0.73 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.675 | $2.17 | −$0.02 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.645 | $1.81 | −$0.38 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No | 0.320 | 0.230 | $1.57 | −$0.62 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.160 | $1.52 | −$0.67 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.750 | 0.265 | $0.77 | −$1.42 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 10:00 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.19 |
| 08-04 01:58 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999503 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 17:54 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 09:50 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.19 |
| 08-02 21:11 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2299999223 | $2.19 |
| 08-02 11:54 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999288 | $2.19 |
| 08-02 01:14 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.19 |
| 08-01 17:04 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $2.19 |
| 08-01 16:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.19 |