PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x3c60999b38215ddb881c1a5d3380629bcc09c0d7

Realised P&L
$21.12
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$11.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)27.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? · Yes0.0800.460$5.78+$4.78
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? · Yes0.2700.310$1.15+$0.15
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.215$1.07+$0.07
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.009$1.06+$0.06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0700.065$0.93$0.07
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0290.025$0.88$0.12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2600.205$0.79$0.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 17:37Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
07-31 03:30Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?BUY0.0795255406$1.00
07-30 01:15U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.0559999498$1.00
07-18 19:35Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2$1.00
07-06 11:59Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.003$0.75
07-06 00:09Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.004$1.00
07-05 22:45Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?BUY0.0429999606$1.00
07-03 00:26Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
07-03 00:26Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
07-01 02:33Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0299999712$1.00
06-30 06:37Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2819999219$2.00
06-30 06:37Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.019$0.76
06-30 06:36Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.027$1.29
06-30 06:35Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.027$3.73
06-30 06:35Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0279999866$2.00