PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

yogapinnacle

0x39b0e53147e8d495d4eb138852772a7c72a207d1

Realised P&L
$4.8k
Volume
$283.5k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$21.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9110.946$21.5k+$777.59
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · Yes0.2400.135$270.00$210.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 08:44Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.986$13.7k
06-12 08:44Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.986$20.17
05-30 20:26Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.979$32.3k
05-30 20:24Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?SELL0.999$30.0k
05-30 16:55Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?SELL0.25$882.75
05-29 05:56Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?BUY0.24$58.88
05-18 09:04Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.989$18.4k
05-18 09:04Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.989$11.2k
05-17 19:44US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?BUY0.86$860.00
05-12 10:31Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.116$58.00
05-09 09:57Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.83$2.6k
05-09 09:50Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.906$222.59
05-09 09:50Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.906$632.60
03-01 18:59Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.81$7.0k
11-03 05:34Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?BUY0.56$1.1k