yogapinnacle
0x39b0e53147e8d495d4eb138852772a7c72a207d1
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $283.5k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $21.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.911 | 0.946 | $21.5k | +$777.59 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.135 | $270.00 | −$210.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.607Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$3.1kat 0.240Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$1.4kat 0.730Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?
- +$1.2kat 0.410Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?
- +$1.1kat 0.470Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 08:44 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.986 | $13.7k |
| 06-12 08:44 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.986 | $20.17 |
| 05-30 20:26 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.979 | $32.3k |
| 05-30 20:24 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $30.0k |
| 05-30 16:55 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.25 | $882.75 |
| 05-29 05:56 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $58.88 |
| 05-18 09:04 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.989 | $18.4k |
| 05-18 09:04 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.989 | $11.2k |
| 05-17 19:44 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $860.00 |
| 05-12 10:31 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.116 | $58.00 |
| 05-09 09:57 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $2.6k |
| 05-09 09:50 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.906 | $222.59 |
| 05-09 09:50 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.906 | $632.60 |
| 03-01 18:59 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.81 | $7.0k |
| 11-03 05:34 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.56 | $1.1k |