xykj1
0x3908431bcc2aba3fae8dd2756dab9b63ff10d10e
- Realised P&L
- $-164.12
- Volume
- $32.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,597
- Open portfolio
- $3.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,597
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.62at 0.318Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$35.20at 0.238Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
- +$29.43at 0.033Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
- +$22.06at 0.120Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$18.40at 0.214France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 02:30 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.28 |
| 07-28 02:30 | Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.32 |
| 07-28 02:29 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.33 |
| 07-28 02:29 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0469723926 | $0.31 |
| 07-28 02:29 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.102 | $0.15 |
| 07-28 02:29 | Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.12 |
| 07-28 02:29 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,201,000 and $1,216,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.18 |
| 07-28 02:29 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.44 |
| 07-28 02:29 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.45 |
| 07-28 02:29 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.53 |
| 07-28 02:28 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $0.60 |
| 07-28 02:28 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,198,000 and $1,220,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.40 |
| 07-28 02:28 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.056 | $0.63 |
| 07-28 02:28 | Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $0.64 |
| 07-28 02:28 | Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.64 |