PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Ox359449186AafB044680CeF3BBe2aB4FAba702599

0x359449186aafb044680cef3bbe2ab4faba702599

Realised P&L
$-19.04
Volume
$15.8k
Markets traded
241
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded241
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9340.935$189.87+$0.09
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9540.960$183.05+$1.05
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.9500.967$117.68+$2.02
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9420.955$107.38+$1.49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9730.981$83.29+$0.71
Trump out as President by August 31? · No0.9910.991$63.97$0.04
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9270.915$59.33$0.78
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.955$40.86$0.21
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9610.963$37.05+$0.06
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9650.982$31.56+$0.53
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? · No0.9710.978$25.55+$0.18
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.885$23.83$0.13
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026? · No0.9880.984$23.70$0.11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.9991.000$20.98+$0.01
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.9560.972$15.50+$0.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 02:41Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.12$0.96
08-03 01:45Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.1299999704$3.78
08-03 01:05Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.12$2.53
08-03 00:45Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.9649998849$4.99
08-03 00:45Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.990999969$4.99
08-02 22:33Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.12$0.96
08-02 21:28Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.1299999704$3.78
08-02 21:07Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.12$2.53
08-02 20:24Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.998$4.99
08-02 20:24Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.999$9.99
08-02 19:29Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.977$5.99
08-02 18:06Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.12$0.96
08-02 17:14Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.9899998655$6.99
08-02 17:14Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.1299999704$3.78
08-02 17:06Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.12$2.53