xiaohaio
0x3566eeee37204384ed5e0062459ec41dd8c310fe
- Realised P&L
- $-3.15
- Volume
- $26.5k
- Markets traded
- 761
- Open portfolio
- $18.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded761
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.66at 0.009Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$64.35at 0.010Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
- +$22.12at 0.233Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
- +$21.62at 0.253Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$16.20at 0.19076ers vs. Celtics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 06:08 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 06:08 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 07-01 03:09 | Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30? | SELL | 0.911 | $1.96 |
| 06-30 12:34 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $2.14 |
| 06-30 12:34 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 06-30 11:57 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 06-30 11:57 | Trump out as President by June 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 06-30 11:57 | Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 06-30 11:57 | Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 11:57 | Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 06-30 11:57 | Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.02 |
| 06-30 11:57 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.984 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 11:57 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.987 | $1.01 |
| 06-30 11:57 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.972 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 11:57 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.974 | $1.00 |