PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x30ca092afa53c9170af786649107dfe1d74229eb

Realised P&L
$0.51
Volume
$98.88
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$17.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.7700.978$2.54+$0.54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7901.000$2.53+$0.53
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.5400.675$2.50+$0.50
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.6900.815$2.36+$0.36
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No0.5900.585$1.98$0.02
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4300.375$1.74$0.26
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes0.4000.445$1.46+$0.15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.2500.175$1.40$0.60
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes0.2500.105$0.84$1.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 10:24Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.5899999675$2.00
08-04 02:22Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.5399999784$2.00
08-04 02:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.25$2.00
08-03 02:18Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.25$2.00
08-02 17:57Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.77$2.00
08-02 09:40US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-02 00:56Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.4$1.31
08-01 16:51Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.6899997205$2.00
08-01 08:42Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.3899998066$1.19
08-01 00:19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
07-31 16:19New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 08:09Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-30 20:39New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-30 09:39Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-28 04:33Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95