0x30ca092afa53c9170af786649107dfe1d74229eb
- Realised P&L
- $0.51
- Volume
- $98.88
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $17.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.978 | $2.54 | +$0.54 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.790 | 1.000 | $2.53 | +$0.53 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.675 | $2.50 | +$0.50 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.690 | 0.815 | $2.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No | 0.590 | 0.585 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.430 | 0.375 | $1.74 | −$0.26 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.445 | $1.46 | +$0.15 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No | 0.250 | 0.175 | $1.40 | −$0.60 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.105 | $0.84 | −$1.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.86at 0.390Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$1.17at 0.640Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
- +$0.62at 0.753Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$0.61at 0.700Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
- +$0.58at 0.770Will Warsh say "Recession" during July Press Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 10:24 | Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 02:22 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 02:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 02:18 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 17:57 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 09:40 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 00:56 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.31 |
| 08-01 16:51 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.6899997205 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 08:42 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899998066 | $1.19 |
| 08-01 00:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 16:19 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 08:09 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-30 20:39 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-30 09:39 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-28 04:33 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |