0x2c1192d375d7adecb9d1ac562618e421d561e6b3
- Realised P&L
- $-230.22
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $60.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.53at 0.810Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$6.39at 0.610Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
- +$2.50at 0.957Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$0.75at 0.930Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
- +$0.28at 0.986Trump out as President by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 09:49 | Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? | BUY | 0.0982665776 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 09:48 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.2299999793 | $7.00 |
| 07-29 09:47 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.076492524 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 09:46 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0128712872 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 09:46 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5269999822 | $7.00 |
| 07-29 09:42 | Epstein storage units raided in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 09:40 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 06:04 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 06:03 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.2782645306 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 06:02 | Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? | BUY | 0.2799999515 | $3.00 |
| 06-25 17:58 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0819999992 | $89.28 |
| 04-13 18:07 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.011 | $13.93 |
| 04-06 05:42 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BUY | 0.0623633842 | $9.95 |
| 04-05 17:07 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999937 | $19.90 |
| 04-05 17:03 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.986 | $19.90 |