PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x2c1192d375d7adecb9d1ac562618e421d561e6b3

Realised P&L
$-230.22
Volume
$7.6k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$60.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2000.117$11.75$8.25
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.065$7.61$12.29
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5270.498$6.62$0.38
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · Yes0.0980.130$6.61+$1.61
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2300.195$5.93$1.07
Epstein storage units raided in 2026? · Yes0.2800.270$4.82$0.18
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.085$4.72$0.28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2200.205$4.66$0.34
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.0760.068$4.44$0.56
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.006$1.63$0.38
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8100.963$1.19+$0.19
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.0090.001$0.56$9.44
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 09:49Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?BUY0.0982665776$5.00
07-29 09:48Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.2299999793$7.00
07-29 09:47Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.076492524$5.00
07-29 09:46Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0128712872$1.00
07-29 09:46Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5269999822$7.00
07-29 09:42Epstein storage units raided in 2026?BUY0.2799999731$5.00
07-29 09:40Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
07-28 06:04Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2199999727$5.00
07-28 06:03Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.2782645306$5.00
07-28 06:02Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?BUY0.2799999515$3.00
06-25 17:58Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0819999992$89.28
04-13 18:07Trump out as President by April 30?BUY0.011$13.93
04-06 05:42Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?BUY0.0623633842$9.95
04-05 17:07Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1699999937$19.90
04-05 17:03Trump out as President by April 30?BUY0.986$19.90