0x29937147168856af0171fe88ae1602a7e2d65e74
- Realised P&L
- $-22.75
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $70.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.41at 0.070Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$5.04at 0.270Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
- +$4.81at 0.630Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
- +$4.20at 0.690MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$3.74at 0.380US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 06:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999913 | $1.82 |
| 07-09 06:27 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $0.86 |
| 07-01 14:32 | Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 09:28 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | BUY | 0.4399999221 | $1.13 |
| 06-26 09:27 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 09:05 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.4779997983 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 08:37 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 08:36 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.1619998775 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 08:35 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 11:32 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.2199999088 | $1.64 |
| 06-11 11:27 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 07:36 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 08:44 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 08:42 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 08:40 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |