PolyBot

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Traders

0x29937147168856af0171fe88ae1602a7e2d65e74

Realised P&L
$-22.75
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$70.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.6700.910$9.51+$2.51
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · No0.7700.850$7.73+$0.73
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8200.945$6.91+$0.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4800.435$6.34$0.66
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9100.932$6.14+$0.14
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9630.981$6.11+$0.11
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5900.505$5.99$1.01
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · Yes0.6900.565$5.73$1.27
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · No0.6700.875$4.38+$1.02
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? · No0.3230.185$4.00$3.00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.7100.245$2.42$4.58
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1170.038$2.30$4.70
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.225$1.86+$0.04
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.135$0.75$0.25
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2200.090$0.41$0.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 06:28Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.219999913$1.82
07-09 06:27Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?SELL0.89$0.86
07-01 14:32Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
06-26 09:28Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?BUY0.4399999221$1.13
06-26 09:27Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
06-25 09:05Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.4779997983$1.00
06-25 08:37Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.4599997608$1.00
06-25 08:36Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.1619998775$1.00
06-25 08:35Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
06-11 11:32Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.2199999088$1.64
06-11 11:27Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
06-10 07:36Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
06-09 08:44Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.239999856$1.00
06-09 08:42Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
06-09 08:40Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.1099999032$1.00