0x28516600833bf8ae2820aaf872c4ebd2a225ebc9
- Realised P&L
- $-3.39
- Volume
- $52.66
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $15.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.796 | 1.000 | $2.62 | +$0.53 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.770 | $2.30 | +$0.21 |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No | 0.590 | 0.630 | $2.23 | +$0.14 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.675 | $2.17 | +$0.08 |
| Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.320 | 0.315 | $2.06 | −$0.03 |
| Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.545 | $1.68 | −$0.41 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.160 | $1.45 | −$0.64 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.590 | 0.265 | $0.94 | −$1.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.499Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Another pandemic before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
- +$-2.09at 0.540Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of August 3 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:51 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.5899999153 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 08:35 | Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.679999987 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 00:34 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999067 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 16:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.6999999665 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 16:33 | Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 08:31 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999328 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 21:11 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2299999285 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 02:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5899999153 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 17:05 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7963369952 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 03:27 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.04 |
| 07-31 19:25 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 11:23 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 00:06 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4989999935 | $1.99 |