PolyBot

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Traders

0x2840d1458f3bba6dfe208c4adaab153258a17167

Realised P&L
$-20.25
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$1.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0600.051$0.85$0.15
Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.0030.002$0.50$0.50
Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$1.00
Will England win the World Cup? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$5.00
Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 04:16Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETBUY0.4699998778$1.00
07-12 04:16Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-12 04:15Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETSELL0.99$16.87
07-12 04:14Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETBUY0.88$15.00
07-12 04:13Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.059999946$1.00
07-12 04:03Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.002999997$1.00
07-12 04:02Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
07-12 03:59Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.2899998666$1.00
07-12 03:56Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.001$1.00
07-12 02:26Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.0374999822$2.00
07-12 01:31Will England win the World Cup?BUY0.209999974$5.00
07-12 01:31Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
07-12 01:02Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1549999442$2.00
07-12 00:51Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.201$6.40
07-08 09:48Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1569999773$5.00