kaixi9899
0x278b9981210c7d667d347c3bb3c255c6d49343bf
- Realised P&L
- $65.78
- Volume
- $31.5k
- Markets traded
- 261
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded261
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$250.73at 0.233Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
- +$115.72at 0.220Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$95.34at 0.110Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$85.63at 0.230LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
- +$74.99at 0.360Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Fils
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:37 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | BUY | 0.828934832 | $76.32 |
| 08-04 00:00 | Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? | BUY | 0.179999995 | $27.60 |
| 08-03 19:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.9699999976 | $76.23 |
| 08-03 14:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $32.97 |
| 08-03 00:28 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.983 | $68.81 |
| 08-02 20:29 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $66.74 |
| 08-02 18:30 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9779999972 | $69.86 |
| 08-02 13:31 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? | BUY | 0.289999998 | $74.71 |
| 08-02 02:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.9699999999 | $99.00 |
| 08-01 23:38 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.9669999941 | $69.09 |
| 08-01 12:38 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.5446675676 | $20.15 |
| 08-01 12:01 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $101.92 |
| 07-31 06:10 | Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $15.30 |
| 07-31 06:10 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.945 | $15.12 |
| 07-31 04:10 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $22.36 |