PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

kaixi9899

0x278b9981210c7d667d347c3bb3c255c6d49343bf

Realised P&L
$65.78
Volume
$31.5k
Markets traded
261
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded261
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · No0.9700.978$176.58+$1.35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8870.865$158.33$4.06
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.3530.265$149.77$49.64
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · No0.9281.000$131.94+$9.39
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · No0.7630.740$120.97$3.85
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.9681.000$105.29+$3.32
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.9400.961$104.03+$2.27
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.9520.955$102.16+$0.31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.8900.885$101.35$0.57
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.4020.775$90.84+$43.75
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes0.8290.794$73.10$3.22
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? · Yes0.2900.280$72.13$2.58
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · No0.9670.984$70.27+$1.18
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? · No0.6240.595$58.95$2.87
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9430.932$44.59$0.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 07:37Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?BUY0.828934832$76.32
08-04 00:00Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?BUY0.179999995$27.60
08-03 19:21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.9699999976$76.23
08-03 14:23Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.1899999962$32.97
08-03 00:28Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?SELL0.983$68.81
08-02 20:29Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.94$66.74
08-02 18:30Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9779999972$69.86
08-02 13:31Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?BUY0.289999998$74.71
08-02 02:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.9699999999$99.00
08-01 23:38Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?BUY0.9669999941$69.09
08-01 12:38Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?SELL0.5446675676$20.15
08-01 12:01Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8899999996$101.92
07-31 06:10Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?SELL0.85$15.30
07-31 06:10Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.945$15.12
07-31 04:10Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?SELL0.86$22.36