0x26572868AdCeE0E5136dC8d33756e9879d0D42E6-1771354638297
0x26572868adcee0e5136dc8d33756e9879d0d42e6
- Realised P&L
- $-8.9k
- Volume
- $158.9k
- Markets traded
- 142
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded142
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$250.12at 0.078Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$175.58at 0.602Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$137.69at 0.109Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
- +$56.63at 0.044Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$41.46at 0.204Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 07:48 | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.14 | $138.56 |
| 07-31 07:47 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.030064184 | $134.11 |
| 07-31 07:47 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.0519342806 | $11.70 |
| 07-28 12:30 | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.16 | $169.52 |
| 07-28 12:26 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.0330210392 | $62.78 |
| 07-28 12:26 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.0320937597 | $124.25 |
| 07-07 20:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 20:48 | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 07-07 20:48 | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.10 |
| 07-07 20:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $2.90 |
| 07-07 20:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 20:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 20:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | SELL | 0.37 | $2.18 |
| 07-07 20:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 20:40 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.0409035056 | $1.13 |