GRALLIX
0x213f7a1e9352b970f06a83e761d1427c99a0160c
- Realised P&L
- $-119.30
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $344.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.40at 0.309Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$34.76at 0.622Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$31.88at 0.511Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
- +$31.83at 0.518US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$30.39at 0.724Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 16:14 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.976 | $40.76 |
| 07-31 06:42 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $41.55 |
| 07-31 06:06 | Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.0522753333 | $4.70 |
| 07-31 06:06 | Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.35 | $31.50 |
| 07-31 06:06 | Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.0644377778 | $5.80 |
| 07-31 06:06 | Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.28 | $25.20 |
| 07-31 06:06 | Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.24 | $21.60 |
| 07-29 06:52 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 07-29 06:51 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.971 | $61.17 |
| 05-23 19:57 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $4.56 |
| 05-23 19:57 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $11.34 |
| 05-22 12:35 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | SELL | 0.2192591667 | $157.87 |
| 05-20 06:03 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.48 | $345.60 |
| 05-18 12:55 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BUY | 0.962 | $19.24 |
| 05-18 12:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |