PolyBot

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Traders

0x1f2c58a61f16f8c1104ef1127a975d92ae7c9662

Realised P&L
$1.85
Volume
$33.77
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$12.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.3701.000$2.70+$1.70
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $385 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.4400.820$1.86+$0.86
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.6400.890$1.39+$0.39
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? · Up0.5300.715$1.35+$0.35
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5900.785$1.33+$0.33
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6300.685$1.09+$0.09
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes0.4200.405$0.96$0.04
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? · Down0.5200.295$0.57$0.43
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.3100.175$0.56$0.44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.5500.310$0.56$0.44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.2100.105$0.50$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 04:57WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.5299998781$1.00
08-04 20:50S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.52$1.00
08-04 11:43Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
08-04 03:41Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $385 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
08-03 19:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
08-03 18:21US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
08-03 10:04US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.55$1.00
08-02 23:20Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-02 06:36US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
08-01 22:34Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.64$1.00
08-01 14:03Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.63$1.00
08-01 02:07Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5019999699$1.00
07-31 17:34Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.00
07-29 12:05Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-29 02:45Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.00