RoyJail
0x1e99d63fc23e994d86d13fa8e2ee0449154d6a09
- Realised P&L
- $-88.50
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 239
- Open portfolio
- $348.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded239
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.39at 0.710Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$22.95at 0.710US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$15.05at 0.930Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
- +$13.64at 0.880Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
- +$13.35at 0.880Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 16:31 | Will Solana reach $110 in July? | SELL | 0.992 | $7.56 |
| 07-21 10:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | BUY | 0.9889999455 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 18:35 | Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7699999846 | $4.00 |
| 07-19 14:44 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.58 | $4.90 |
| 07-19 06:00 | Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.6599999785 | $8.00 |
| 07-17 16:51 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.649999999 | $62.00 |
| 07-15 12:29 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.92 | $12.63 |
| 07-13 20:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? | BUY | 0.5799999884 | $8.00 |
| 07-13 20:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | BUY | 0.6499999878 | $8.00 |
| 07-12 12:32 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 12:32 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9669755516 | $53.00 |
| 07-12 12:23 | Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain? | BUY | 0.9869999996 | $30.00 |
| 07-12 04:43 | Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.9579999999 | $30.00 |
| 07-12 04:43 | Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain? | BUY | 0.985999998 | $6.00 |
| 07-11 09:05 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.75 | $7.00 |