PolyBot

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Traders

0x1ca417c20b6a30534cb35face5a435acf617355b

Realised P&L
$-38.96
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$11.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration82.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 17:41Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.982999998$1.00
07-23 16:10Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0146061143$1.00
07-23 12:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?BUY0.2049998698$1.00
07-23 09:44Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.01$1.00
07-22 20:09Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0154552084$1.00
07-22 19:19Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0330096775$1.00
07-22 19:18Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0109999892$1.00
07-22 19:18Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.9859997614$1.00
07-22 19:17Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.0151387573$1.00
07-22 19:17Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2219998521$1.00
07-20 19:06Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0729999331$1.00
07-20 18:06Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0729999331$1.00
07-20 12:18Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.0309999705$1.00
07-20 12:17Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.0279999733$1.00
07-19 22:03Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.0240343118$1.00