0x1c62a0d516c472ca5075b482d4e2f35758d63d47
- Realised P&L
- $-76.96
- Volume
- $876.15
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $32.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.485 | $15.65 | +$5.65 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.905 | $13.71 | +$3.71 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.065 | $3.10 | −$6.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.29at 0.230Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5
- +$12.06at 0.190Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5
- +$11.17at 0.210Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5
- +$8.17at 0.380Spread: England (-1.5)
- +$5.03at 0.360Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 11:08 | Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 14:01 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 05:57 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 09:56 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 13:46 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 16:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7599999483 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 06:54 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.52 |
| 07-31 22:50 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.76 |
| 07-31 14:49 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.5M and 7.6M in June? | BUY | 0.76 | $10.01 |
| 07-31 06:45 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.83 |
| 07-30 17:47 | Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.83 |
| 07-30 06:33 | Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.08 |
| 07-29 20:33 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-29 02:02 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5019999626 | $1.53 |
| 07-28 12:42 | Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.11 |