oneiromancy
0x1b642c30ee4a8200260f275d6e36137a618891e9
- Realised P&L
- $-76.33
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $650.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.85at 0.960Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
- +$16.68at 0.187Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?
- +$15.45at 0.670Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?
- +$13.02at 0.939Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
- +$10.13at 0.899Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.0298009636 | $13.55 |
| 08-01 17:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | BUY | 0.2299999986 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 02:01 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.991 | $500.50 |
| 07-31 20:06 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $46.63 |
| 07-31 19:38 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $91.79 |
| 07-31 19:07 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 18:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.9899999981 | $500.00 |
| 07-31 18:15 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.8567870457 | $40.00 |
| 07-31 18:08 | Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 14:55 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9702970274 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 14:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 14:47 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $110.13 |
| 07-31 08:05 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8989101083 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 08:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | SELL | 0.98 | $102.12 |
| 07-31 05:30 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |