PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

oneiromancy

0x1b642c30ee4a8200260f275d6e36137a618891e9

Realised P&L
$-76.33
Volume
$12.8k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$650.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? · Yes0.3900.365$182.50$12.50
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1400.165$118.80+$18.00
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4000.390$89.50$2.29
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? · Yes0.2300.195$84.78$15.22
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.6320.225$49.87$90.13
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1000.125$37.50+$7.50
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? · Yes0.0430.041$33.93$2.07
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · Yes0.1000.095$19.00$1.00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0900.075$16.67$3.33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes0.0110.025$11.14+$6.14
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1650.120$7.28$2.72
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 02:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.0298009636$13.55
08-01 17:51Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.2299999986$100.00
08-01 02:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.991$500.50
07-31 20:06Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 31?SELL0.999$46.63
07-31 19:38Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4$91.79
07-31 19:07Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.089999996$20.00
07-31 18:18Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.9899999981$500.00
07-31 18:15Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 31?BUY0.8567870457$40.00
07-31 18:08Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?BUY0.1$20.00
07-31 14:55Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.9702970274$100.00
07-31 14:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.011$10.00
07-31 14:47Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.99$110.13
07-31 08:05Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.8989101083$100.00
07-31 08:05Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?SELL0.98$102.12
07-31 05:30Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00