PolyBot

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0x1b296Ecf556EF9a93887C82836343f58C1Ff1227-1721909506760

0x1b296ecf556ef9a93887c82836343f58c1ff1227

Realised P&L
$932.00
Volume
$139.7k
Markets traded
213
Open portfolio
$13.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded213
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4690.635$11.2k+$2.9k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.7410.731$1.9k$27.51
National Bank Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton · Joao Fonseca0.4700.465$102.30$1.10
Will Rafael Jodar Win ATP Montreal · Yes0.1600.205$63.55+$13.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 21:23Will Rafael Jodar Win ATP MontrealBUY0.16$49.60
08-08 18:39National Bank Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben SheltonBUY0.47$103.40
08-07 14:32National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao FonsecaBUY0.54$99.90
08-05 02:12National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao FonsecaBUY0.57$399.00
08-02 21:14Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.66$528.00
08-02 21:11Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?SELL0.992$1.5k
07-19 21:40Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.6$2.7k
07-19 16:02Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4274999995$391.41
07-18 21:42Will England win on 2026-07-18?SELL0.89$40.45
07-18 21:01Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.219999985$10.00
07-14 22:42England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5399999985$50.00
07-14 22:41England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5399999981$100.00
07-14 20:30France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0924999917$10.00
07-14 20:29Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.9009623833$540.58
07-14 19:25France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3824999979$83.03