0x1b2744ddf4f069b411308e6c8399a184c2f42d73
- Realised P&L
- $-5.60
- Volume
- $44.96
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $12.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.825 | $2.63 | +$0.43 |
| Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.835 | $2.55 | +$0.35 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.910 | $2.50 | +$0.30 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.800 | 0.905 | $2.49 | +$0.29 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No | 0.787 | 0.575 | $1.61 | −$0.59 |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.370 | 0.120 | $0.71 | −$1.49 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.790 | 0.170 | $0.47 | −$1.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.04at 0.680Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
- +$-0.04at 0.510Another pandemic before GTA VI?
- +$-1.83at 0.600Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 10:11 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.3699999529 | $2.20 |
| 08-04 12:52 | Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7199999476 | $2.20 |
| 08-04 04:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7869997539 | $2.20 |
| 08-03 20:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.20 |
| 08-03 12:14 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.689999978 | $2.20 |
| 08-03 04:13 | Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5599999491 | $2.20 |
| 08-02 20:10 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.20 |
| 08-02 00:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.7899999605 | $2.20 |
| 08-01 16:01 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999258 | $2.20 |
| 08-01 05:01 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.04 |
| 07-31 21:01 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999262 | $2.21 |
| 07-31 13:01 | Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.83 |
| 07-30 21:09 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |