FishMan2
0x19b911549009c7dc3c49bd252b935a70c5a8d75e
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $437.5k
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $639.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.136Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?
- +$909.41at 0.500S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?
- +$482.29at 0.123S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?
- +$457.63at 0.483S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12?
- +$430.00at 0.570Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 05:37 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $19.88 |
| 08-07 05:36 | Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.961 | $19.22 |
| 08-07 05:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 05:32 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.53 | $35.50 |
| 08-06 12:37 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 08-06 12:35 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $96.40 |
| 08-06 12:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $33.20 |
| 08-06 12:31 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.983 | $39.32 |
| 08-06 12:27 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.3997413793 | $278.22 |
| 07-22 19:46 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22? | SELL | 0.8107032349 | $57.64 |
| 07-22 19:45 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22? | SELL | 0.8514285714 | $29.80 |
| 07-22 06:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.854 | $8.54 |
| 07-22 06:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22? | BUY | 0.61 | $79.30 |
| 07-16 17:44 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16? | SELL | 0.9403513174 | $187.36 |
| 07-16 06:41 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16? | BUY | 0.49 | $34.30 |