TUDGRCZ
0x199119ecdb8f17511ee05bf55a110d1fbe44425c
- Realised P&L
- $252.30
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $149.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.988 | 0.988 | $144.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? · No | 0.990 | 0.964 | $4.87 | −$0.13 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.05at 0.645Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$77.50at 0.690Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
- +$74.57at 0.280Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedov
- +$31.95at 0.644Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$25.00at 0.750South Korean President impeached in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 10:06 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9879999972 | $145.00 |
| 07-30 09:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.9989998583 | $7.00 |
| 07-14 17:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.00 |
| 07-14 17:25 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.9939999976 | $173.00 |
| 06-23 12:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9989998761 | $8.00 |
| 06-10 10:24 | Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 10:23 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $404.00 |
| 05-30 07:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 10:03 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.00 |
| 05-10 10:02 | Will Solana dip to $10 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $415.00 |
| 04-27 07:37 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April? | BUY | 0.997 | $11.99 |
| 04-13 14:26 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.9939999993 | $6.00 |
| 04-08 15:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $404.88 |
| 03-23 07:16 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.00 |
| 03-15 12:23 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.9959999871 | $26.00 |