PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

skvi

0x191d70b9691c24f5ae4dbb26452aa69ac364ac20

Realised P&L
$7.75
Volume
$54.04
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$2.11

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar14.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration65.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · Yes0.1180.130$1.95+$0.18
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.0240.009$0.09$0.15
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0130.009$0.06$0.03
Will there be exactly 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-02 20:59Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?SELL0.976$1.00
05-02 20:58Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.9769994333$1.00