skvi
0x191d70b9691c24f5ae4dbb26452aa69ac364ac20
- Realised P&L
- $7.75
- Volume
- $54.04
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $2.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.130 | $1.95 | +$0.18 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.009 | $0.09 | −$0.15 |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.009 | $0.06 | −$0.03 |
| Will there be exactly 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.20at 0.480Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?
- +$2.70at 0.460Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?
- +$-0.00at 0.977Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-02 20:59 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL | 0.976 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 20:58 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.9769994333 | $1.00 |