0x17e1214f65a60621d56956f88e62dfeac12da132
- Realised P&L
- $-7.15
- Volume
- $40.04
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $11.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.935 | $2.93 | +$0.74 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.780 | 0.915 | $2.57 | +$0.38 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.895 | $2.55 | +$0.36 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.510 | $1.62 | −$0.57 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.380 | 0.260 | $1.50 | −$0.69 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.440 | 0.145 | $0.72 | −$1.47 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No | 0.340 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-2.19at 0.280Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
- +$-2.19at 0.710Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $487.50 Week of August 3 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 03:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.7699997961 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 19:12 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999514 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 10:05 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999118 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 09:24 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $487.50 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999157 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 08:45 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.19 |
| 08-02 21:16 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.7799999288 | $2.19 |
| 08-02 08:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4399999518 | $2.19 |
| 08-01 23:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.3399999224 | $2.19 |
| 08-01 14:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.2799999284 | $2.19 |