0x160e70a22bf54b49c4f435F29629d688970C617d-1783087650907
0x160e70a22bf54b49c4f435f29629d688970c617d
- Realised P&L
- $57.59
- Volume
- $17.2k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $920.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.31at 0.071US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
- +$46.01at 0.130US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$44.66at 0.098U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$26.83at 0.410Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
- +$26.52at 0.739Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:50 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999589 | $2.37 |
| 08-03 03:24 | Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.15 |
| 08-03 03:23 | Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | SELL | 0.87 | $3.21 |
| 08-03 03:01 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.03 |
| 08-02 22:27 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.44 | $3.09 |
| 08-02 22:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $0.45 |
| 08-02 22:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $0.46 |
| 08-02 21:51 | Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $9.27 |
| 08-02 21:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2339998886 | $1.47 |
| 08-02 21:31 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.51 |
| 08-02 03:50 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999905 | $15.05 |
| 08-02 03:43 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.6199999665 | $5.92 |
| 08-02 03:30 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $19.49 |
| 08-02 03:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.94 |
| 08-02 03:23 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.48 |