mirroo
0x151690a6eaa7edc7d666d1dc4f06d47a597b9f4c
- Realised P&L
- $5.57
- Volume
- $421.85
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $151.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.625 | $25.00 | +$5.40 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.625 | $21.88 | −$0.17 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.460 | 0.455 | $20.48 | −$0.22 |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.745 | $18.63 | −$0.13 |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.715 | $17.88 | −$0.13 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.855 | $17.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.845 | $16.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.695 | $13.97 | −$0.30 |
| Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.89 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.511 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.20at 0.465Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 02:57 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.63 | $22.05 |
| 08-08 02:50 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $58.39 |
| 08-07 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 08-07 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 08-07 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 08-07 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.53 | $7.95 |
| 08-07 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 08-07 08:00 | Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.28 |
| 08-07 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 08-07 07:58 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.72 | $18.00 |
| 08-07 07:58 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 08-07 07:17 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.46 | $11.50 |
| 08-07 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 08-07 07:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.49 | $19.60 |
| 08-07 07:11 | Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $18.75 |