PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x1483c098e0b2f666e4b5a50225945cd0020c8de1

Realised P&L
$-6.98
Volume
$62.99
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$8.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.3900.585$3.00+$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.7700.999$2.59+$0.59
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.3400.340$2.00+$0.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.6000.375$1.14$0.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 08:23Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.3399999422$2.00
08-03 11:53Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $580 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-03 03:53Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.3899998908$2.00
08-02 19:34Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4899999534$2.00
08-02 11:17Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
08-01 14:59Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.77$2.00
08-01 04:01Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 20:01New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999281$1.56
07-31 12:00Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.4099998721$1.25
07-30 16:14Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.4989999935$1.99
07-30 00:44Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.4$1.30
07-29 16:10Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-29 05:39Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.35$1.05
07-28 02:51Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.39$1.17
07-27 16:04Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Michigan remarks?BUY0.64$1.95