PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0x1457566662eccf4f59c0db145b7cfe978d595509

Realised P&L
$-8.62
Volume
$74.30
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$10.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)15.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7700.999$2.59+$0.59
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? · No0.6900.760$2.20+$0.20
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? · Yes0.5110.508$1.99$0.01
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · No0.5500.315$1.15$0.85
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4300.245$1.14$0.86
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes0.2500.135$1.08$0.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 14:21Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?BUY0.5109999175$2.00
08-04 06:17S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on August 4?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
08-03 10:15Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
08-03 02:15Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.25$2.00
08-03 02:14Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
08-02 17:53Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.64$2.00
08-02 09:38US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-02 00:21Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.34999993$2.00
08-01 16:18Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.77$2.00
08-01 04:05Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999281$1.56
07-31 20:04Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.4299999015$1.31
07-31 12:03New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-29 12:50New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-28 21:40Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?BUY0.6699999498$1.87
07-28 05:20Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53