0x12f5Bb11B90a25EEb59a9815dA21ea895Eb25Ac4-1770775900944
0x12f5bb11b90a25eeb59a9815da21ea895eb25ac4
- Realised P&L
- $-3.6k
- Volume
- $190.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,142
- Open portfolio
- $656.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,142
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.11at 0.210Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%?
- +$61.92at 0.320Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 28?
- +$55.08at 0.230Grok 4.6 released by August 7, 2026?
- +$54.40at 0.160Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?
- +$50.00at 0.400Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 00:24 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.72 | $9.36 |
| 08-07 00:24 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.73 | $5.11 |
| 08-07 00:14 | Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? | SELL | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 08-06 21:46 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 08-06 21:45 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 21:45 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 08-06 21:11 | Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.44 |
| 08-06 21:06 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | SELL | 0.8174722157 | $69.14 |
| 08-06 21:05 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 19:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 08-06 19:53 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $36.50 |
| 08-06 19:53 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $36.50 |
| 08-06 17:47 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 08-06 17:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.19 | $2.34 |
| 08-06 16:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.314 | $3.92 |