PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

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Traders

0x124bd0811d9e0dec0de8261f925afdae7dd60b21

Realised P&L
$-1.20
Volume
$135.80
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$14.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? · Yes0.4300.475$3.31+$0.31
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? · Yes0.5110.518$3.04+$0.04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.7700.750$2.92$0.08
Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes0.3900.325$2.50$0.50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.2100.090$1.29$1.71
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4500.155$1.03$1.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 19:40Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?BUY0.4299999298$3.00
08-04 11:39Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.3899999558$3.00
08-04 03:39Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?BUY0.5109999591$3.00
08-03 19:38Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.2099999489$3.00
08-03 11:16US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.7699998614$3.00
08-03 03:16Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5199999861$3.00
08-02 19:13US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4499999625$3.00
08-02 10:59Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?BUY0.5899999272$3.00
08-01 12:29Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.6999999343$2.13
08-01 04:06New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 20:05Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.55
07-31 12:04New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 03:28Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.91
07-29 23:13Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.36$1.62
07-29 13:37Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?BUY0.5299999776$1.89