darkestpool
0x10445fd428f2293dec2d117f3cf75f9c57d88ceb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $83.5k
- Markets traded
- 4,195
- Open portfolio
- $618.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,195
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$180.41at 0.010Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$141.32at 0.122US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$97.91at 0.178Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$72.00at 0.040Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?
- +$49.69at 0.260Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:06 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.976 | $6.00 |
| 08-02 07:39 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 08-02 07:39 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $6.02 |
| 08-02 07:39 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.119 | $5.45 |
| 08-02 07:39 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.42 | $6.02 |
| 08-01 20:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $4.84 |
| 08-01 18:55 | Will Dundee FC win on 2026-08-03? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 08-01 18:37 | The Hundred: London Spirit vs Southern Brave | BUY | 0.14 | $1.02 |
| 08-01 18:33 | Will Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.33 |
| 08-01 14:46 | Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.31 |
| 08-01 13:43 | The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Southern Brave | BUY | 0.28 | $12.45 |
| 08-01 13:30 | The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Welsh Fire | BUY | 0.53 | $3.79 |
| 08-01 10:58 | Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.77 |
| 08-01 08:58 | Will Rot-Weiss Essen win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.94 | $6.27 |
| 08-01 08:52 | Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.15 |