MKAP-092
0x0e4527c36379d7ff1875bdda938a16ed341517ca
- Realised P&L
- $-250.33
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $409.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.34at 0.250Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by July 31, 2026?
- +$56.67at 0.150Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$41.80at 0.590Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$41.26at 0.686Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
- +$38.19at 0.585Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:57 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 14:28 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999956 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 20:18 | Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0996929457 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 19:37 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 19:36 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0869999926 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 07:54 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.0648055773 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 21:16 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0169999983 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 21:16 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 21:15 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 21:08 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.0308304602 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 21:08 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0331829042 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 12:35 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 11:44 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0379999928 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 11:44 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? | BUY | 0.008 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 11:43 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |